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PETALING JAYA: Despite the environment of rising interest rates and declining yield spread, Axis Real Estate Investment Trust (Axis-REIT) is expected to offer financial year (FY) 2022-2024 dividend yield of 5.1% to 5.8%.
Its operating statistics have remained positive in the first nine months of 2022, with a 67% tenancy renewal rate and 95% portfolio occupancy rate, according to CGS-CIMB Research.
This should improve to about 96% once the asset assessment of Axis Facility 2 completes in the first quarter of 2023, turning it into a Green Building Index-certified asset.
The research house said the group’s rental reversion outlook remained resilient, at 2% to 3% for FY22 (FY21: 5.6%).
“This is supported by the improved business conditions of its warehouse and logistics tenants as they benefit from the domestic and global economic recovery and buoyant demand for manufacturing facilities from various multinational companies,” the research house said.
Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) Research said Axis-REIT would continue to post decent year-on-year growth despite the ongoing macroeconomic woes.
It expects sequential increase in financing costs due to the prevailing interest rate upcycle (49% fixed rate financing), although the quantum is not expected to materially impact its bottom line.,
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UOB Kay Hian said that for every 25 basis points increase in interest rates, an additional RM1.8mil in interest expenses would be incurred annually (about 1% of earnings).
Its gearing level is healthy at 36%, with 49% of total borrowings at a fixed financing rate.
Kenanga Research said post the results, it has adjusted its core net income projections to RM157.9mil (up 4.1%) for FY22 and RM171.5mil (up 2.9%) for FY23 after tweaking its assumptions.
It has a “market perform’’ call on the stock and lowered its target price (TP) slightly to RM1.89 a share after streamlining its target yield (from 5.3% previously) to 5.5%.
RHB Research adjusted its FY23 to FY24 earnings slightly by about 1% to factor in the contributions from a proposed acquisition of a manufacturing facility in Klang, after receiving details on the rental rate.
It retained its “buy’’ call at RM2.19 a share. The risks cited are non-renewal of its expiring leases and negative rental reversions.
CGS-CIMB is retaining its “add’’ call with a TP of RM2.17 a share, while HLIB has a “buy” call at RM1.99 per share.